Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.076087 0.084598 0.093974 0.105123 0.118089 0.132779 0.150803
2024-10-13 0.062125 0.073273 0.086572 0.103823 0.125925 0.153744 0.192152
2024-10-20 0.053968 0.066635 0.082732 0.105155 0.136366 0.179534 0.246172
2024-10-27 0.047443 0.060687 0.078372 0.104470 0.143404 0.201863 0.301815
2024-11-03 0.043205 0.056968 0.076151 0.105957 0.153344 0.230279 0.375944
2024-11-10 0.039811 0.053864 0.074189 0.107227 0.162864 0.260035 0.463323
2024-11-17 0.036628 0.050623 0.071496 0.106755 0.169176 0.285580 0.552988
2024-11-24 0.034362 0.048452 0.070090 0.108023 0.178581 0.319224 0.676092
2024-12-01 0.032432 0.046567 0.068858 0.109305 0.188142 0.355830 0.826708
2024-12-08 0.030696 0.044797 0.067580 0.110246 0.197139 0.393913 1.006042
2024-12-15 0.028986 0.042903 0.065867 0.110094 0.203800 0.428677 1.201152
2024-12-22 0.027308 0.040913 0.063777 0.108905 0.207952 0.458573 1.404854
2024-12-29 0.026310 0.040003 0.063529 0.111392 0.221194 0.518641 1.795049
2025-01-05 0.024758 0.038030 0.061193 0.109338 0.223366 0.548259 2.088499
2025-01-12 0.023780 0.036977 0.060439 0.110489 0.233760 0.608022 2.632588
2025-01-19 0.022640 0.035553 0.058859 0.109644 0.238869 0.653096 3.177546
2025-01-26 0.021882 0.034751 0.058387 0.111180 0.250795 0.728793 4.125523
2025-02-02 0.021159 0.033961 0.057860 0.112514 0.262546 0.811055 5.404004
2025-02-09 0.020298 0.032857 0.056615 0.112002 0.268818 0.875045 6.769690
2025-02-16 0.019688 0.032179 0.056169 0.113349 0.281203 0.975103 9.161742
2025-02-23 0.019121 0.031544 0.055753 0.114715 0.294105 1.088161 12.706188
2025-03-02 0.018559 0.030880 0.055220 0.115717 0.306172 1.207802 17.856862
2025-03-09 0.017933 0.030056 0.054283 0.115554 0.314249 1.313005 24.497715